Market Intelligence6 min

Commuter Intelligence: 454K Origin-Destination Records Reshape CRE Analysis

How Census LEHD Data Reveals Where High-Earners Work — and Why That Matters More Than Where They Live

Axiomancer LabsMarch 31, 2026

Most CRE analysis focuses on residential demographics — median income, population density, educational attainment. But for commercial real estate, what matters is where people work, not where they sleep.

The Census Bureau's LEHD LODES (Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Origin-Destination Employment Statistics) dataset answers this question at extraordinary granularity: census-block-level data on every employer-employee relationship in the country.

What We Loaded

We ingested Workplace Area Characteristics (WAC) files for 17 states covering all 22 Axiom Locus metros. The data includes:

  • Total jobs per census block
  • Age breakdown: Young (≤29), mid-career (30-54), senior (55+)
  • Earnings tiers: Low (≤$1,250/mo), mid ($1,251-$3,333), high (>$3,333)
  • 13 NAICS sectors including construction, manufacturing, retail, healthcare, finance, professional services, and food/accommodation

For any location, we can now answer: *What kinds of jobs are concentrated here, how much do they pay, and where do those workers commute from?*

LEHD Records by State (Top 10)
California
110.7K
Texas
78.5K
Illinois
49.8K
Florida
25.4K
New York
24.7K
Washington
23.4K
Arizona
21.1K
Colorado
19.6K
Massachusetts
15.7K
Oregon
15.8K

Why This Matters for CRE

High-earner concentration predicts office demand. A census tract where 60% of jobs pay >$3,333/month tells you that employers are competing for talent in that location — driving demand for Class A office, premium lunch spots, and transit access.

Sector composition predicts tenant mix. A tract dominated by healthcare jobs (NAICS 16) needs different retail than one dominated by finance (NAICS 10). Healthcare workers need scrubs shops and quick-service food; finance workers need dry cleaners and cocktail bars.

Commuter inflow volume predicts daytime foot traffic. The properties near transit stations with high inflow from high-income residential areas are the most undervalued in CRE — research consistently shows 5-42% price premiums for transit-proximate commercial assets.

This data layer feeds directly into our Economic Strength and Business Vitality scoring groups, adding census-block precision to what was previously metro-level approximation.